Projecting Bears 2024 Starting Offense Stats

The Bears are looking to change the narrative around their franchise this season with the addition of Caleb Williams and other key pieces. Let's look at what a successful season would look like for each player on offense.
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Cole Kmet - 405 yards, 5 touchdowns

Last season, Cole Kmet was asked to do a lot at the tight end position since Robert Tonyan underperformed and Marcedes Lewis, at age 39, could only play so many snaps. Kmet made the best of the situation, finishing the season with 719 receiving yards and six touchdowns. Although he won't be asked to do as much this season, Kmet should remain productive in this Bears offense.

While Kmet will remain productive this season, his productivity is unlikely to match the consistent 500+ yard receiving seasons he has enjoyed over the past three years. The most likely outcome for Kmet is he catches for somewhere close to 450 yards, which considering all the additions made, is a decent output.

Over the past two seasons, Kmet has also been a big red zone threat for the Bears, scoring 13 touchdowns (7 in 2022 and 6 in 2023). This season, the sportsbooks are setting Kmet's touchdown line at 3.5, which is down a good amount.

However, the projected dip in touchdowns is warranted since Kmet is no longer the second-best receiving option. Despite this, Kmet's big frame should still allow him to find room in defenses and score at least four touchdowns this season.

Gerald Everett - 300 receiving yards, 3 touchdowns

Rounding out the Bears' offense is veteran tight end Gerald Everett. Everett played for offensive coordinator Shane Waldron during the 2021 season in Seattle, where he gained 478 yards and scored four touchdowns.

Although Everett won't be the first tight end on the depth chart in Chicago as he was in Seattle, it is clear that Waldron will find ways to get the ball to him.

Having two tight ends who can make plays means more two tight-end sets and a better rotation this season. That should lead Everett to a fairly decent stat line of 300 receiving yards and three touchdowns this season.

If the Bears can get that out of Everett, they will have the dynamic tight-end duo they were hoping for last season with Tonyan.

If the Bears offense ends the 2024 season close to the statistics laid out in this article, Williams's rookie season would be considered a success. All that's left is to wait and see how the team does.

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change