Offensive Rookie of the Year Power Rankings: Caleb Williams' Odds Plummet After Week 1 Disappointment
The 2024 Offensive Rookie of the Year race is going to be one of the most interesting to watch in recent memory after this year'd draft brought a historic amount of new offensive talent into the NFL. It's especially interesting for Chicago Bears fans, since Caleb Williamd and Rome Odunze both looked poised to contend for the award heading into the season.
Week 1 brought some significant changes to the rankings, however. Williams had an underwhelming debut. He certainly wasn't the only rookie to disappoint, but there were some who really went above and beyond and climbed the rankings.
Here's a look at the up-to-date Rookie of the Year odds rankings, including how they have changed since the preseason rankings.
2024-25 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Year Odds Rankings
Rank | Player | Team | Odds | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Caleb Williams | CHI | +150 | - |
2 | Jayden Daniels | WAS | +430 | - |
3 | Marvin Harrison Jr. | ARI | +800 | - |
4 | Xavier Worthy | KC | +1100 | +3 |
5 | Malik Nabers | NYG | +1500 | -1 |
6 | Bo Nix | DEN | +1600 | -1 |
7 | Drake Maye | NE | +1900 | - |
T8 | Keon Coleman | BUF | +2800 | -1 |
T8 | Brian Thomas Jr. | JAX | +2800 | +5 |
10 | Ladd McConkey | LAC | +3500 | - |
11 | Brock Bowers | LV | +4000 | - |
12 | Michael Penix Jr. | ATL | +5500 | +6 |
13 | Jalen McMillan | TB | +6500 | N/A |
T14 | Rome Odunze | CHI | +7500 | -2 |
T14 | Bucky Irving | TB | +7500 | N/A |
T14 | Devaughn Vele | DEN | +7500 | N/A |
17 | MarShawn Lloyd | GB | +8500 | +1 |
T18 | Trey Benson | ARI | +10000 | -5 |
T18 | Braelon Allen | NYJ | +10000 | N/A |
T18 | Adonai Mitchell | IND | +10000 | -5 |
Tracking the Bears
Caleb Williams (1st, +150)
Williams was the favorite ever since being drafted, and that still hasn't changed. But his edge on the field did tighten up after he finished his debut with just 93 yards and 0 touchdowns while completing 48.3% of his passes.
His odds dropped from +135 to +150 (a drop of 2.6 percentage points of implied probability), while Washington Commanders quarterback Jayden Daniels has climbed in second place. Daniels' odds improved from +550 to +430.
It's also worth noting that third-placed Marvin Harrison Jr. saw a significant drop as well, from +650 to +800 after catching just 1 pass for 4 yards in his NFL debut.
If you ask me it's way too early to hit the panic button on Williams. It was an ugly debut, for sure, but it was one game out of 17. If you were a buyer on Williams as the favorite before the season, the bad performance against the Titans shouldn't do much to sway your opinion here.
Rome Odunze (T14th, +7500)
As you would expect, Williams' poor game meant it was an ugly one for Bears receivers too. This included Rome Odunze, who caught just 1 of 4 targets for 11 yards in his debut. But hey, at least that was better than Harrison's stat line.
Odunze also got banged up in the opener, and even if the issue doesn't prove serious, another factor slowing down his production early in the season could hurt. That explains his drop from 12th to a tie for 14th in the rankings.
But with his odds jumping from +4500 to +7500 (paying out 75 to 1 if he wins), it might actually be time to consider an Odunze bet. If no rookie has set themselves apart from the field early, a late-season surge could be enough to put someone in contention. It's a risky bet, of course, but that's why the potential payout is so high.
If you think Williams turns it around and still has a great season, then a bet on Odunze is an interesting way to back that idea while looking at a much larger win if you're right.
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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.