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Best Bears Bets in Week 5: Unraveling the Bears Offense

The Bears' offense remains an enigma, and the inconsistency makes it difficult to predict yards, catches, and touchdowns for the quarterback and role-player positions.

By Larry Goldman

Bears' offensive coordinator, Shane Waldron is on the hot seat as the number 1 overall pick Caleb Williams and the entire Bears offense is searching for identity, making it difficult to place bets.
Bears' offensive coordinator, Shane Waldron is on the hot seat as the number 1 overall pick Caleb Williams and the entire Bears offense is searching for identity, making it difficult to place bets. / Matt Marton-Imagn Images
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Betting the Quarterback

The title of our article last week was, "Which Caleb Williams Will Show Up?" I am still not sure we received an answer. Williams threw for 157 yards and a touchdown last week. No interceptions or fumbles which was a huge step forward and he had a quarterback rating over 100 for the first time.

To get reasonable odds, Williams has to throw over 225 yards, which he has only done once. He also has to throw 2 or more touchdowns. He has only done that once.

Pick: It is just too unpredictable to place money on Williams. Taking 225+ yards at +110 is the better bet, but it is a huge risk.

Betting the Running Back

D'Andre Swift had a great day on the ground with 93 yards. But 36 of that was on one run, though it was a touchdown. Taking out that run, he still would have had 3.8 yards/carry, which, though not great, would be a season-high. The Rams had a bad run defense and so did the Panthers.

It does seem to be clear that a winning formula for the Bears is a solid run game. It takes pressure off of Williams, opens up passing lanes, and stops over-blitzing (Williams has taken 16 sacks so far this year, one of the most in the league).

Even though I think that Williams needs to throw the ball closer to 30 times a game to be successful, the Bears will force-feed Swift this week.

Pick: D'Andre Swift to run 60+ yards at +140

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