Although they're mathematically eliminated from the playoffs, the Chicago Bears' ffinal game of the 2023 NFL regular season isn't meaningless. After all, Matt Eberflus' team can still play spoiler when they visit the rival Green Bay Packers for a Week 18 showdown at Lambeau Field.
The NFC currently has two available playoff spots and the Packers are currently No. 7. Four teams are chasing Green Bay for that final playoff spot, highlighting just how much chaos Chicago can create with a victory.
So, how are the Bears' odds looking when it comes to a potential upset on Sunday?
Bears vs. Packers Odds Week 18
With this game taking place on the road, the Bears are 3-point underdogs against the Packers with +140 odds on the moneyline in a game that features a projected total of 44 points.
While Chicago fans are likely disappointed by oddsmakers, a three-point difference implies that we'll see a close game. That's encouraging news considering that the Bears fell 38-20 to the Packers when these teams last met in Week 1 to open the season.
But while that lopsided loss left a foul taste in the Bears' mouths, let's not pretend like the Packers are a powerhouse. Despite being in the upper half of the NFL when it comes to points scored (11th), points allowed (14th), and average scoring margin (11th), Green Bay is only 8-8 and barely holding on to a playoff spot.
And while the Bears haven't won at Lambeau Field since 2015, it's worth noting that the Packers own the ninth-worst home scoring margin (minus-1.9) this season. Additionally, three of their four wins at Lambeau Field this season only came by one possession.
Despite all the shortcomings this season, the Bears are still one of the better teams against the spread, covering in 57.1% of games (T-8th). For reference, the Packers only have a 50.0% ATS success rate (T-17th).
In other words, while the odds might be in their favor, don't count out the Bears when it comes to spoiling the Packers' playoff plans.
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