Best Bears Bets for Week 6: Chicago Will Keep Rolling in London Showdown
The Bears had a big week all around against Carolina last week and our betting fortunes followed them. We won all four bets last week bringing our yearly total to 12-12. Here is how it played out:
We said the Bears would cover the four-point spread and they did by a wide margin. We said it was risky, but QB Caleb Williams would throw over 225 yards he threw for over 300.
We said RB D'Andre Swift would rush for over 60 yards and he went off for 73 yards. Finally, we said that WR DJ Moore would catch at least five passes and he caught five.
This week, the Bears face the 1-4 Jaguars, who are coming off an impressive Week 5. All odds are available at DraftKings Sportsbook.
Betting the Game: Bears vs. Jaguars
The Bears are a slight favorite in London, where the Jaguars seemingly play every year while the Bears typically struggle.
QB Trevor Lawrence shows up as a middle-of-the-pack quarterback this year with an 87.5 QB rating. Lawrence broke out last week with 371 yards and a touchdown. Per NFL.com, Jacksonville is middle of the league in passing yards and passing touchdowns. On the other side, the Bears' passing defense has allowed the lowest passer rating in the league while giving up the seventh-fewest passing yards and the third-fewest passing touchdowns. Facing this defense will be a challenge for the Jaguars.
The team and lead RB Travis Etienne have the 7th-most rushing yards in the league, though Tank Bigsby took over the duties last week and rushed for 101 yards. Jacksonville has the second-best yards per carry (5.7) but interestingly is middling in rushing touchdowns. The Bears' rushing defense has been a problem as of late. They have improved to the middle of the pack in rushing yards but give up the 11th-most yards per carry.
As for the Bears' offense, all of their metrics, though improving, are still at the bottom of the league. They still have the 7th-lowest QB rating but they have improved to the 20th-most yards in the league, right behind the Jaguars. The rushing side is much worse as the Bears have the lowest yards per carry and fifth least rushing yards. For the Chicago fans that have been watching though, you know that all facets have the offense are much improved albeit against bad defenses like the Rams and the Panthers.
The good news is that the Jaguars are one of those bad defenses. They have given up the third-worst QB rating in the league (111.7), the second-most passing yards, and the third-most passing touchdowns. That said, the Jaguars are better against the ground game. They're 11th in rushing yards and 6th in fewest yards per carry but have given up the seventh most rushing touchdowns.
The Bears will force a balanced attack early because that has been a winning formula recently. However, their strategy of turning to the passing game and seeing Williams light up a porous Jaguars secondary could be a game-time decision if the run game falters. We have seen Williams throw the ball as many as 52 times in a game and he's coming off a game with boosted confidence.
Pick: Bears -1 (-110)