The morning of the NFL Draft is always a wild one. Months of speculation and projections are often rendered meaningless, as the reports that surface this close to the draft tend to be more accurate than anything we've seen all offseason.
But that doesn't mean every report on draft day is an accurate one.
One of the wilder claims coming out of Chicago this morning is that the Bears already have a trade agreement in place for the No. 10 pick in the first round. Ben Devine, a prominent name on Bears Twitter, who is unaffiliated with any actual news outlets, claims that his sources say a "tentative deal was hammered out yesterday afternoon."
But digging deeper, this one's hard to believe.
First of all, his projections from as recently as yesterday afternoon included reporting that there was "no doubt" that the Bears were trying to move up for either Ashton Jeanty or Abdul Carter. In other words, one move that would be a total disaster, and one that isn't even remotely feasible.
No doubt about it - the Chicago Bears are trying to trade up for one of two players:
— Ben Devine (@Chicago_NFL) April 23, 2025
1. Abdul Carter
2. Ashton Jeanty
- The Patriots (4), Jaguars (5), Raiders (6) have made calls about moving down.
-Chicago has called the Giants at 3 to move up.
-Chicago would want to move down…
Spending a top-10 draft pick on a running back is controversial at the best of times. But when you're talking about trading up and spending potentially multiple first-round picks to do it, that becomes untenable. This is especially true when your team has multiple needs to address. Tight end, offensive tackle, and edge rusher are all way too important to be able to sacrifice multiple picks for a running back (even a great one).
And as for Carter, he's fun to daydream about, but that's about it. He may well be the best player in this draft class. He probably has the highest floor of anyone, and his ceiling is huge as well. He could be a long-term difference-maker on any defense.
But again, going from 10 to 3 is just way too costly.
The Bears aren't a rebuilding team that just needs to amass a few players with elite potential, and they're not a contender with just 1-2 final needs to fill before they're Super Bowl favorites. This is a team that should be turning the corner on a rebuild, with multiple holes that need filling to make sure they're not wasting what they have in Caleb Williams.
It doesn't look like too many Bears fans are taking this report seriously anyway, but it's always worth visiting why starry-eyed projections like this aren't worth getting too excited about.