Chicago Bears will beat Las Vegas Raiders if they do this in Week 5

3. The Chicago Bears have to commit to the run against Las Vegas

The Raiders are 21st against the run in 2021 so far, and have allowed nearly 5.0 yards per carry — that’s an area the Bears can also exploit even without David Montgomery. It will be the Damien Williams show against Vegas, with a bit of Khalil Herbert mixed in here and there as well.

Believe it or not, the Bears are tied for 9th in the league in rushing through four weeks — and that even includes the dud against Cleveland where Chicago ran for just 46 net yards on the ground. That’s mind-boggling, considering how bad the Browns game was.

The difference between Bill Lazor and Matt Nagy calling plays is pretty evident for many reasons, but just look at how much better Williams was against Detroit compared to his first two games (Williams didn’t get a touch in Week 3). With Nagy calling plays, Williams ran eight times for 18 yards combined against the Rams and Bengals.

Then, against Detroit, Williams ran eight times for 55 yards and a touchdown. That’s solely based on the fact that Lazor committed to the run and wore down Detroit’s defense.

The Raiders are not a great defense, especially against the run. They’re going to give up chunk plays, and Williams is one of the faster guys on the Bears roster. If Lazor tries to get Williams upwards of 18 touches, he could be in line for a huge game — and the Bears, a huge performance on the ground.